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Red59
98220.1
90611.4
Blue65
53819.5
117814.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284502060801001201401605965

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
982
Unranked
20.10.7
18.719.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
538
Unranked
19.50.7
24.223.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
906
Unranked
11.40.7
9.09.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
1178
Unranked
14.50.7
21.120.4
Auto
Teleop
End