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Red42
109415.3
93130.3
Blue7
87610.0
82913.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42300206080100120140427

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
Unranked
30.31.4
24.926.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.0
829
Unranked
13.31.4
20.919.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1094
Unranked
15.31.4
16.818.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
876
Unranked
10.01.4
8.97.5
Auto
Teleop
End