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Red69
75517.7
6484.7
Blue74
1634.4
4521.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2458040801001201406974

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
755
Unranked
17.71.8
18.119.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.7
16
Unranked
34.41.8
30.729.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
648
Unranked
4.71.8
6.38.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.0
45
Unranked
21.81.8
26.825.0
Auto
Teleop
End