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Red40
53819.5
120816.3
Blue116
90611.4
96730.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4030020608010012040116

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
538
Unranked
19.55.4
23.518.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.1
967
Unranked
30.65.4
20.325.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1208
Unranked
16.35.4
16.511.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
906
Unranked
11.45.4
9.815.1
Auto
Teleop
End