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Red115
109817.7
86822.3
Blue106
88020.5
35622.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48440206080100120140115106

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
Unranked
22.30.3
26.426.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
356
Unranked
22.80.3
24.624.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1098
Unranked
17.70.3
21.922.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
880
Unranked
20.50.3
19.919.6
Auto
Teleop
End