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Red40
101824.0
6484.7
Blue49
90611.4
53819.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302901020405060704049

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1018
Unranked
24.00.6
26.025.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
538
Unranked
19.50.6
17.418.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
648
Unranked
4.70.6
4.43.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
906
Unranked
11.40.6
12.012.6
Auto
Teleop
End