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Red38
93627.7
93512.2
Blue39
118215.6
93819.6
63%Model gave it37%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443402060801001203839

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
936
Unranked
27.70.7
27.626.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
938
Unranked
19.60.7
17.618.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
935
Unranked
12.20.7
16.315.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
1182
Unranked
15.60.7
16.317.0
Auto
Teleop
End