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Red7
41-2.5
81-3.9
Blue75
14113.5
107110.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions-117406080100120775

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41
Unranked
-2.51.9
-0.5-2.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.0
141
Unranked
13.51.9
12.214.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
81
Unranked
-3.91.9
-0.4-2.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.1
1071
Unranked
10.21.9
5.06.8
Auto
Teleop
End