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Red49
87110.9
12215.5
Blue57
75320.0
111419.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2237060801001204957

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
Unranked
15.50.3
14.214.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
753
Unranked
20.00.3
19.319.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
871
Unranked
10.90.3
8.18.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
1114
Unranked
19.10.3
17.917.6
Auto
Teleop
End