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Red11
4717.0
21314.9
Blue29
12826.5
31130.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2358040801001201401129

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
213
Unranked
14.90.7
12.913.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.3
311
Unranked
30.10.7
31.230.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
471
Unranked
7.00.7
9.710.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.6
128
Unranked
26.50.7
27.026.3
Auto
Teleop
End