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Red45
2745.8
33032.7
Blue30
41518.3
51514.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions823002040601001201401604530

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
Unranked
45.81.4
49.247.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.5
415
Unranked
18.31.4
16.918.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
330
Unranked
32.71.4
33.231.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.4
515
Unranked
14.31.4
12.914.3
Auto
Teleop
End