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Red41
56317.5
91220.6
Blue65
71636.6
62425.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38610501001502004165

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
912
Unranked
20.60.0
20.720.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.9
716
Unranked
36.60.0
35.635.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
563
Unranked
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
624
Unranked
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto
Teleop
End