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Red77
6329.8
6728.7
Blue82
21314.9
38817.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613002040801001201407782

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63
Unranked
29.81.3
31.129.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
388
Unranked
17.51.3
16.117.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
67
Unranked
28.71.3
29.528.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.9
213
Unranked
14.91.3
13.514.9
Auto
Teleop
End