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Red45
1077.9
44112.4
Blue70
9313.1
12826.5
37%Model gave it63%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2139060801001201404570

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
441
Unranked
12.40.2
12.712.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.1
128
Unranked
26.50.2
26.326.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
107
Unranked
7.90.2
8.27.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
93
Unranked
13.10.2
12.913.1
Auto
Teleop
End