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Red34
33926.1
93911.3
Blue35
14113.5
37838.7
37%Model gave it63%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365302060801001201401603435

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
Unranked
26.10.6
25.626.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.5
378
Unranked
38.70.6
38.738.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
939
Unranked
11.30.6
10.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
141
Unranked
13.50.6
14.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End