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Red40
41-2.5
41518.3
Blue170
33032.7
12826.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2450040608010012014016040170

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
415
Unranked
18.34.8
20.015.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.4
330
Unranked
32.73.9
26.930.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
41
Unranked
-2.54.8
4.4-0.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.0
128
Unranked
26.53.9
23.127.0
Auto
Teleop
End