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Red8
20420.6
53820.2
Blue37
107110.2
56317.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42270206080100837

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204
Unranked
20.61.7
21.519.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
563
Unranked
17.52.0
18.720.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
538
Unranked
20.22.2
20.718.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
1071
Unranked
10.21.8
8.410.2
Auto
Teleop
End