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Red109
30238.7
1077.9
Blue43
56317.5
38817.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3944020608010012014016010943

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
Unranked
38.72.7
35.938.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.3
563
Unranked
17.52.9
20.717.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
107
Unranked
7.92.7
3.36.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.5
388
Unranked
17.53.5
23.219.7
Auto
Teleop
End