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Red56
87110.9
25436.9
Blue5
100722.0
91220.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40460100150200250565

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
36.92.1
33.835.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.9
1007
Unranked
22.02.4
24.021.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
871
Unranked
10.92.1
6.68.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
912
Unranked
20.62.6
21.919.3
Auto
Teleop
End