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Red45
14113.5
37838.7
Blue66
95726.4
75320.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5443020801001201404566

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
378
Unranked
38.71.2
39.538.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
957
Unranked
26.41.2
24.725.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
141
Unranked
13.51.2
14.713.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
753
Unranked
20.01.2
18.019.3
Auto
Teleop
End