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Red36
97526.9
48133.0
Blue88
4912.4
2745.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66644050607080903688

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
481
Unranked
33.02.0
38.036.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.8
27
Unranked
45.82.0
46.748.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
975
Unranked
26.92.5
27.925.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.5
49
Unranked
12.42.0
17.519.5
Auto
Teleop
End