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Red64
50118.2
102730.5
Blue50
58728.7
56317.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4746102030406070806450

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1027
Unranked
30.50.6
28.028.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
587
Unranked
28.70.7
30.029.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
501
Unranked
18.20.6
18.018.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
563
Unranked
17.50.6
17.817.2
Auto
Teleop
End