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Red58
6329.8
14113.5
Blue8
83622.1
51514.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48380206080100588

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63
Unranked
29.81.5
34.536.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
836
Unranked
22.11.5
26.424.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
141
Unranked
13.51.5
13.314.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
515
Unranked
14.31.5
12.010.5
Auto
Teleop
End