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Red40
514.9
6728.7
Blue45
50118.2
27132.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4253020801001201401604045

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
Unranked
28.70.2
29.229.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
271
Unranked
32.60.2
34.534.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5
Unranked
14.90.2
12.312.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
501
Unranked
18.20.2
18.618.3
Auto
Teleop
End