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Red33
29233.7
30238.7
Blue8
78241.2
53820.2
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71620204080100120140160338

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
Unranked
38.70.2
38.138.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
782
Unranked
41.20.2
41.441.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
292
Unranked
33.70.2
32.532.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
538
Unranked
20.20.2
20.420.2
Auto
Teleop
End