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Red40
5843.9
23622.9
Blue22
6938.8
12133.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66730501001504022

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
Unranked
43.90.4
43.543.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
69
Unranked
38.80.4
39.238.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
236
Unranked
22.90.4
22.622.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.2
121
Unranked
33.10.4
33.533.1
Auto
Teleop
End