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Red18
2468.4
11535.6
Blue92
6938.8
9516.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334701001502001892

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
Unranked
8.43.7
14.410.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 30.5
69
Unranked
38.83.7
27.631.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1153
Unranked
5.611.7
2.814.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.1
95
Unranked
16.73.7
19.222.9
Auto
Teleop
End