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Red45
6938.8
16627.8
Blue47
46712.7
105822.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions743102040601001201401604547

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69
Unranked
38.82.3
43.140.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.3
1058
Unranked
22.62.3
20.122.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
166
Unranked
27.82.3
30.828.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.1
467
Unranked
12.72.3
10.512.7
Auto
Teleop
End