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Red53
56224.3
46712.7
Blue61
1906.2
28715.8
51%Model gave it49%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423601001502002503003504005361

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
562
Unranked
24.30.9
21.420.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
287
Unranked
15.80.9
17.818.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
467
Unranked
12.70.9
20.619.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
190
Unranked
6.20.9
17.818.7
Auto
Teleop
End