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Red35
24117.3
23622.9
Blue34
2468.4
12616.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342901001502002503003504003534

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
Unranked
22.90.2
17.417.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
126
Unranked
16.40.2
18.718.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
241
Unranked
17.30.2
16.716.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
246
Unranked
8.40.2
10.710.9
Auto
Teleop
End