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Red12
11535.6
5843.9
Blue15
12133.1
21315.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41410102030506070801215

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
Unranked
43.90.2
26.926.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
121
Unranked
33.10.2
26.426.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1153
Unranked
5.60.2
14.514.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
213
Unranked
15.20.2
14.514.7
Auto
Teleop
End