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Red33
15117.5
13833.7
Blue14
29620.9
17229.6
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49452004006008001,0001,2001,4003314

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
Unranked
33.71.0
21.122.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
172
Unranked
29.61.0
25.824.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
151
Unranked
17.51.0
27.628.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
296
Unranked
20.91.0
19.218.2
Auto
Teleop
End