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Red38
12616.4
13131.2
Blue58
12133.1
6938.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436001001502003858

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
Unranked
31.20.2
24.123.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
69
Unranked
38.80.2
33.033.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
126
Unranked
16.40.2
18.918.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.7
121
Unranked
33.10.2
26.626.8
Auto
Teleop
End