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Red78
12133.1
56224.3
Blue2
8821.4
16627.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5151020406080100120140782

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121
Unranked
33.14.7
26.831.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
166
Unranked
27.84.7
25.921.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
562
Unranked
24.34.7
24.529.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
88
Unranked
21.44.7
24.720.0
Auto
Teleop
End