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Red57
17633.3
107319.6
Blue37
52921.7
56224.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413601001502002503003504005737

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
Unranked
33.30.9
22.723.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
562
Unranked
24.30.9
22.321.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1073
Unranked
19.60.4
19.619.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
529
Unranked
21.70.9
13.512.5
Auto
Teleop
End