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Red65
21315.2
29620.9
Blue10
52921.7
15117.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294602060801001201401606510

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
296
Unranked
20.94.5
16.120.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
529
Unranked
21.74.5
18.714.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
213
Unranked
15.24.5
12.617.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
151
Unranked
17.54.5
26.922.4
Auto
Teleop
End