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Red12
4220.2
24117.3
Blue62
9516.7
12616.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413702060801001201401601262

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42
Unranked
20.23.4
26.923.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
95
Unranked
16.73.4
18.221.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
241
Unranked
17.33.4
14.411.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
126
Unranked
16.43.4
18.722.1
Auto
Teleop
End