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Red9
13833.7
13131.2
Blue36
17521.0
17229.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48500100150200250936

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
Unranked
33.71.5
23.722.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
172
Unranked
29.61.5
26.828.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
131
Unranked
31.21.5
23.922.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.2
175
Unranked
21.01.5
23.424.9
Auto
Teleop
End