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Red106
3196.5
5843.9
Blue18
9516.7
24117.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333302040608010012010618

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
Unranked
43.95.5
31.136.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.6
241
Unranked
17.35.5
11.05.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
319
Unranked
6.55.5
2.27.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
95
Unranked
16.75.5
21.616.1
Auto
Teleop
End