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Red61
11535.6
13833.7
Blue103
12616.4
21315.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333905010015061103

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
Unranked
33.72.3
22.219.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
126
Unranked
16.42.3
22.124.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1153
Unranked
5.62.3
11.08.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
213
Unranked
15.22.3
17.119.4
Auto
Teleop
End