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Red40
1906.2
12133.1
Blue45
1336.7
107319.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions492304060801001201404045

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121
Unranked
33.11.9
30.528.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
1073
Unranked
19.61.9
12.514.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
190
Unranked
6.21.9
18.516.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
133
Unranked
6.71.9
10.412.4
Auto
Teleop
End