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Red59
23622.9
5843.9
Blue20
28715.8
16627.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394102060801001205920

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
Unranked
43.92.5
24.326.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
166
Unranked
27.82.5
20.417.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
236
Unranked
22.92.5
14.817.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
287
Unranked
15.82.5
20.417.8
Auto
Teleop
End