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Red51
13131.2
17521.0
Blue32
29620.9
50115.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484002060801001205132

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
Unranked
31.20.7
23.824.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
296
Unranked
20.90.7
22.021.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
175
Unranked
21.00.7
24.124.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
501
Unranked
15.30.7
18.217.5
Auto
Teleop
End