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Red6
40-0.7
46712.7
Blue60
1152-3.4
107319.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21160406080100660

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
Unranked
12.73.7
17.814.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
1073
Unranked
19.63.7
14.418.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
40
Unranked
-0.73.7
3.6-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
1152
Unranked
-3.43.7
2.05.6
Auto
Teleop
End