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Red4
17521.0
7910.4
Blue63
12133.1
17633.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435602080100120140463

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
Unranked
21.02.8
24.822.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.2
176
Unranked
33.32.8
27.830.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
79
Unranked
10.42.8
18.115.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.7
121
Unranked
33.12.8
28.631.4
Auto
Teleop
End