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Red130
6938.8
12133.1
Blue22
35840.4
88519.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676640608010012013022

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69
Unranked
38.86.2
36.042.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
358
Unranked
40.46.2
42.135.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
121
Unranked
33.16.2
31.437.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.1
885
Unranked
19.96.2
24.117.8
Auto
Teleop
End