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Red45
116115.3
11535.6
Blue90
9516.7
8821.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263902060801001201404590

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1161
Unranked
15.31.9
14.412.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
88
Unranked
21.41.9
21.723.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1153
Unranked
5.61.9
11.910.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.1
95
Unranked
16.71.9
17.719.5
Auto
Teleop
End