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Red68
17229.6
23622.9
Blue52
17521.0
15726.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474901001502006852

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
Unranked
29.61.1
26.627.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
157
Unranked
26.61.1
26.925.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
236
Unranked
22.91.1
20.121.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
175
Unranked
21.01.1
22.020.9
Auto
Teleop
End