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Red36
1336.7
1152-3.4
Blue65
107319.6
50016.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11300204060801003665

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
Unranked
6.70.5
9.89.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.9
1073
Unranked
19.60.5
16.116.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1152
Unranked
-3.40.5
0.80.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.9
500
Unranked
16.50.5
13.614.1
Auto
Teleop
End