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Red9
2537.0
10229.6
Blue49
10332.1
8733.8
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686520406080100949

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
Unranked
37.00.5
37.537.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
87
Unranked
33.80.5
33.333.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
102
Unranked
29.60.5
30.129.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
103
Unranked
32.10.5
31.532.1
Auto
Teleop
End